Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.006600 0.007393 0.008256 0.009267 0.010423 0.011705 0.013240
2025-02-16 0.005360 0.006448 0.007734 0.009374 0.011423 0.013918 0.017209
2025-02-23 0.004577 0.005764 0.007244 0.009240 0.011891 0.015328 0.020185
2025-03-02 0.004123 0.005390 0.007039 0.009370 0.012625 0.017082 0.023763
2025-03-09 0.003708 0.005001 0.006744 0.009307 0.013045 0.018406 0.026873
2025-03-16 0.003274 0.004529 0.006275 0.008926 0.012937 0.018924 0.028814
2025-03-23 0.003010 0.004267 0.006063 0.008879 0.013294 0.020142 0.031965
2025-03-30 0.002905 0.004218 0.006150 0.009277 0.014358 0.022562 0.037393
2025-04-06 0.002643 0.003912 0.005821 0.008988 0.014286 0.023119 0.039699
2025-04-13 0.002426 0.003654 0.005541 0.008747 0.014257 0.023729 0.042157
2025-04-20 0.002283 0.003500 0.005410 0.008733 0.014603 0.025016 0.046040
2025-04-27 0.002220 0.003467 0.005468 0.009038 0.015533 0.027447 0.052491
2025-05-04 0.002080 0.003302 0.005303 0.008957 0.015787 0.028712 0.056922
2025-05-11 0.001979 0.003197 0.005232 0.009038 0.016357 0.030668 0.063179
2025-05-18 0.001854 0.003040 0.005058 0.008912 0.016507 0.031798 0.067797
2025-05-25 0.001781 0.002966 0.005022 0.009036 0.017161 0.034040 0.075361
2025-06-01 0.001686 0.002847 0.004896 0.008975 0.017432 0.035501 0.081324
2025-06-08 0.001556 0.002658 0.004626 0.008610 0.017027 0.035425 0.083450
2025-06-15 0.001481 0.002562 0.004523 0.008565 0.017299 0.036907 0.089863
2025-06-22 0.001466 0.002575 0.004625 0.008947 0.018542 0.040803 0.103530
2025-06-29 0.001371 0.002432 0.004420 0.008670 0.018277 0.041062 0.107117
2025-07-06 0.001289 0.002309 0.004243 0.008438 0.018094 0.041498 0.111310
2025-07-13 0.001237 0.002241 0.004170 0.008425 0.018419 0.043258 0.119836